The 2025/26 relegation battle in the Premier League is entering its decisive phase, and with just 10 games remaining, the fight for survival is tighter than ever.

While Wolverhampton Wanderers appear destined for the drop despite a spirited win over Aston Villa, two relegation spots are still up for grabs. That leaves five clubs nervously looking over their shoulders:

• Leeds United
• Tottenham Hotspur
• Nottingham Forest
• West Ham United
• Burnley FC

With the bottom six separated by just 12 points, every fixture from now until May carries enormous significance.

Current Premier League Bottom Six Table

Position	Club	Played	Points	Goal Difference
15th	Leeds	28	31	-10
16th	Tottenham	28	29	-5
17th	Nottingham Forest	28	27	-15
18th	West Ham	28	25	-20
19th	Burnley	28	19	-24
20th	Wolves	29	13	-31

Burnley sit eight points from safety, while West Ham are currently two points from climbing out of the relegation zone.

Tottenham, Forest and Leeds remain far from comfortable.

The Run-In: Who Has the Toughest Fixtures?

On paper, Tottenham and Leeds have slightly kinder schedules based on their opponents’ league positions. In contrast, West Ham, Nottingham Forest and Burnley face a more challenging final stretch.

Leeds, in particular, face four of the bottom six in their final six matches — including a dramatic final-day trip to West Ham that could decide survival.

Key “Six-Pointer” Fixtures

These matches could directly determine who stays up:

• March 22: Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest
• April 11: West Ham vs Wolves
• April 18: Leeds vs Wolves | Forest vs Burnley
• April 25: Wolves vs Tottenham
• May 2: Leeds vs Burnley
• May 9: Tottenham vs Leeds
• May 24 (Final Day): Burnley vs Wolves | West Ham vs Leeds

Expect high drama, late goals and tension.

Opta Supercomputer Predictions

According to Opta’s latest projections:

• Wolves: 100% relegation probability
• Burnley: 98.1%
• West Ham: 69.4%
• Nottingham Forest: 25%
• Tottenham: 5%
• Leeds: 2.1%

Despite Spurs’ alarming form, data still suggests they are likely to survive.

How Many Points Will Be Needed?

Historically, 36 points has been enough to avoid relegation in most recent seasons.

However, this year could demand closer to 38–40 points, especially with the bottom six showing more competitiveness than last season’s exceptionally weak trio.

Only three teams in Premier League history have been relegated with 40+ points — including West Ham’s 42-point drop in 2002/03.

Team-by-Team Survival Outlook

15th – Leeds United

Under Daniel Farke, Leeds have been inconsistent but resilient at Elland Road.

• Only one away league win this season
• Stronger home form (just four defeats)
• Six points clear of relegation zone

Their home advantage could be decisive in the run-in.

Prediction: Likely to survive — but not comfortably.

16th – Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham’s situation is alarming.

Under Igor Tudor, Spurs are:

• On a 10-game winless league run
• Without a league victory in 2026
• Struggling with injuries

Despite the numbers favouring survival, momentum is not.

Gary Neville called relegation “unthinkable” — but current form suggests real danger.

Prediction: Narrow survival, possibly going down to the final two weeks.

17th – Nottingham Forest

Forest sit just above the drop but have struggled for consistency.

New boss Vitor Pereira has yet to spark a revival.

• Five games without a win
• Leaky defence
• Difficult fixture list

Prediction: Most vulnerable of the teams outside the bottom three.

18th – West Ham United

West Ham have quietly improved since their crucial win over Tottenham.

• Only two defeats in recent run
• Improved defensive structure
• Key home fixtures remaining

Momentum may be shifting in their favour.

Prediction: Could escape if current form continues.

19th – Burnley

Burnley’s survival hopes look slim.

• One win in 19 matches
• Eight points from safety
• Weak attacking output

Scott Parker faces a monumental task.

Prediction: Relegation highly likely.

20th – Wolves

A 19-game winless start effectively sealed Wolves’ fate.

• 14 points from safety
• Worst goal difference
• Too much ground to make up

Prediction: Relegated.

Final Relegation Prediction

Based on form, fixtures and probability models:

⬇️ Wolves
⬇️ Burnley
⬇️ West Ham (narrowly)

Tottenham, Leeds and Nottingham Forest likely survive — but it could go to the final day.

Final Word

The Premier League relegation battle is often where the season’s most dramatic moments unfold. With historic clubs like Tottenham and West Ham involved, the stakes feel even higher.

Ten games remain. Thirty points available.
And for some clubs, survival may come down to a single goal in May.

Source: Skysports.com

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